# Apostadores do mercado preditivo se tornam novos comentaristas políticos. Por que estamos ouvindo? | Judith Levine

- Seção: Estados Unidos
- Fonte: The Guardian (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/nov/02/prediction-markets-voters-elections)
- Publicado em: 2026-11-02T11:00:40.000Z
- URL: https://www.itatiba1.com.br/noticia/1475415-apostadores-do-mercado-preditivo-se-tornam-novos-comentaristas-politicos-por-que
- Tradução automática do original em "en": "Prediction market bettors are the new political pundits. Why are we listening to them? | Judith Levine"

> Plataformas como Kalshi e Polymarket criam ilusões populistas enquanto elites lucram.

Sites like Kalshi and Polymarket offer faux populism as elites reap the benefits – and voters risk being misled

Online betting is a bit like Donald Trump.

The prediction markets – platforms where users bet on whether events will occur – pretend to be populist, pushing the nabobs aside and representing the “wisdom of the crowd”. “This data is bottom-up, not elites-driven,” a Kalshi ​spokesperson told Reuters . But in fact, the markets are controlled by a few, skillful traders.

Reportagem completa: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/nov/02/prediction-markets-voters-elections

— Itatiba1 (https://www.itatiba1.com.br). Notícias agregadas e traduzidas; os direitos pertencem aos veículos de origem.